Vietnam’s rice industry in 2009 and outlook for 2010 published by Agroinfo is intended to provide comprehensive and up-to-date analyses of factors affecting the domestic and global rice markets in 2009 and prospects for market trends in 2010.
• Rice production in Vietnam and the world
• Rice price fluctuation in Vietnam and the world
• World rice trade in 2009
• Rice export of Vietnam in 2009
• Rice supply-demand balance of Vietnam in 2009
• Outlook for 2010: Rice price, supply and potential markets for rice export
Vietnam’s rice industry in 2009 and outlook for 2010 will be a helpful reference for policymakers, international organizations, donors and the business community in drawing up business strategies. All the data presented in the report are obtained from publicized sources of reputable organizations including General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Cultivation Department – Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of Vietnam.
Basic Information Release date:
15/03/2010 for Vietnamese version 15/09/2010 for English version • Price:
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
SUMMARY
PART 1: RICE PRODUCTION IN VIETNAM
1. Rice area, yield and output in Vietnam
1.1 Rice area, yield and output in 2009
1.2 Rice area, yield and output in 2009
1.2.1 Winter-spring crop
1.2.2 Summer-fall crop
1.2.3 Tenth month and fall-winter crop
2. Cost and income from rice production
2.1 Cost for rice production
2.2 Income from rice production
PART 2: RICE MARKET
I. World rice market in 2009
1. World rice supply in 2009
2. World rice consumption and reserve in 2009
3. World rice trade 2009
3.1 Export of the biggest rice producing countries in the world 2009
3.2 Import in some main rice importing countries worldwide, 2009
4. Rice price in world market in 2009 and impacting factors
II. Rice market in Vietnam, 2009
1. Domestic rice trade
1.1 A busy market in Q1/2009
1.2. Rice market sharply slumped in Q2/2009 and just slightly increased by the end of Q2/2009
1.3 Rice market gradually decreased in quarter III of 2009
1.4 Rice market experienced an acceralation in quarter IV of 2009
2. Vietnam rice export
2.1 Rice export by month
2.2 Rice export by market
3. Export price of Vietnam
PART 3: RICE SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN THE WORLD AND VIETNAM IN 2009
1. World rice supply-demand balance in 2009
2. Vietnam’s rice supply-demand balance in 2009
PART 4: MARKET OUTLOOK FOR 2010
1. Outlook for 2010 rice supply
1.1 World rice supply outlook for 2010
1.2. Vietnam’s rice supply outlook for 2010
2. Outlook for rice import in some regions and main markets in 2010
3. Rice price outlook for 2010
DATA
FORECAST DATA
APPENDIX | LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Rice area and output nationwide, years 2000-2009
Figure 2: Rice output nationwide, years, 2000-2009
Figure 3: Winter-spring rice area, and output for 2008/09
Figure 4: Summer-fall area, and output for 2008/09
Figure 5: Area and output of tenth month rice and fall-winter rice for 2008/09
Figure 6: Cost for production of 1 ha winter-spring rice for 2008/09 in Nam Dinh
Figure 7: Cost for production of 1 ha winter-spring rice for 2008/09 in Nghe An
Figure 8: Compared in price increase/decrease between input and rice in An Giang, years 2008-2009
Figure 9: World rice area and yield, 2000 – 2009
Figure 10: World rice productivity, 2000 – 2009
Figure 11: World rice consumption and reserve, 2005-2009
Figure 12: Worldwide rice supply and demand, 2007-2009
Figure 13: Top 10 countries exporting rice in the world, 2008-2009
Figure 14: Amount of rice stock and export of Thailand, 2007-2009
Figure 15: Amount of rice stock and export in India, 2007-2009
Figure 16: Top 10 countries importing rice in the world, 2008-2009
Figure 17: Rice import and export volume of the Philippiness, 2007-2009
Figure 18: Rice export and import volume in Middle East, 2007-2009
Figure 19: Export price movement of Thai rice from Jan 2009 to Dec 2009
Figure 20: Price movement of ordinary paddy and rice in Can Tho market, Jan – Dec 2009
Figure 21: Rice export of Vietnam in 2004-2009
Figure 22: Vietnam rice export in 2009 by month
Figure 23: Percentage of Vietnam rice export market in 2009
Figure 24: Top 10 markets importing rice from Vietnam in 2009
Figure 25: Export price of Vietnamese and Thai rice by month, 2008-2009
Figure 26 World reserve-consumer rate for 1999/2000-2009/2010
Figure 27 Forecast on world rice import for 2009/10 by regions
Figure 28: Forecast on rice price in some domestic markets in 2010 by quarter
Figure 29: Forecast on export rice price in 2010 by month
LIST OF TALBES
Table 1: Cost price and income from winter-spring rice production for 2008/09 in some Northern provinces
Table 2: Cost price and income from winter-spring rice production for 2008/09 in some Northern provinces
Table 3: Cost price and income from summer-fall rice production for 2009 in the Mekong Delta
Table 4: World rice supply-demand balance, 2006/07-2008/09 crop year
Table 5: Rice supply-demand balance of Vietnam for 2006/07-2008/09
Figure 6: Forecast on world rice supply-demand in 2010
Table 7: Rice output outlook in2010
Table 8: Vietnam’s rice output outlook for 2010
Table 9: Forecast on export rice volume in 2010
Figure 10: Forecast on world import rice volume and some major importers in 2010 LIST OF APPENDIX TABLES
Table 1: Rice area, yield and output nationwide, years 2000-2009
Table 2: Rice area, yield and output nationwide by regions in 2009
Table 3: Area, output and yield of winter-spring rice for 2007/08-2008/09
Table 4: Area, output and yield of summer-fall rice for 2007/08-2008/09
Table 5: Area, yield and output of tenth month and fall-winter rice for 2007/08-2008/09
Table 6: DAP, Bassa and rice price in An Giang, years 2008-2009
Table 7: Area, yield and output of rice for export, consumption and stock in the world, years 1980-2009
Table 8: World rice output by region, years 2007-2009
Table 9: Rice output of some countries for 2006/07-2008/09
Table 10: Rice consumption of some countries in the world for 2005/06-2008/09
Table 11: Rice stock of some countries for 2005/06-2008/09
Table 12: Rice export of some countries for 2005/06-2008/09
Table 13: Rice import of some countries for 2005/06-2008/09
Table 14: Export rice price of Thailand (5%, 10%, 15%, 25% brokens, 100%B and 100% parboiled rice) by month, years 2007-2009
Table 15: Paddy price in some markets by month, years 2007-2009
Table 16: Rice price in some markets by month, years 2007-2009
Table 17: Rice export volume and value of Vietnam, years 2000-2009
Table 18: Rice export of Vietnam by month in 2009
Table 19: Ricce export market of Vietnam to other markets in 2009
Table 20: Export rice price of Vietnam (5% brokens, 10% brokens, 15% brokens and 25% brokens) by month, years 2007-2009
Table 21: World rice supply-demand, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 22: Rice supply-demand of U.S., crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 23: Rice supply-demand of Brazil, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 24: Rice supply-demand of China, year crop 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 25: Rice supply-demand of India, year crop 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 26: Rice supply-demand of Iraq, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 27: Rice supply-demand of Malaysia, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 28: Rice supply-demand of Pakistan, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 29: Rice supply-demand of Philippines, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 30: Rice supply-demand of Thailand, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 31: Rice supply-demand of Vietnam, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 32: Rice supply-demand of South Africa, crop years 2007/08-2018/2019
Table 33: Rice consumption in several countries, 2007/08-2018/2019
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