Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2012 and outlook for 2013 published by Agroinfo is intended to provide comprehensive and up-to-date analyses of dominant factors over the domestic and global fertilizer industry in 2012 and prospects for Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2013. The report focuses on main contents as follows: (1) The world and domestic fertilizer supply-demand (2) The world and domestic fertilizer trade (3) Price volatility in the world and Vietnam (4) Outlook for the market in 2013 Vietnam fertilizer industry in 2012 and outlook for 2013 is expected to be a helpful reference for policymakers, international organizations, donors and the business community in drawing up business strategies. All the data presented in the report are obtained from publicized sources of reputable organizations including General Statistics Office, General Department of Vietnam Customs, Cultivation Department – Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of Vietnam. Basic Information Release date: 23/03/2013 for Vietnamese version 26/04/2013 for English version • Price: 1,000,000 for Vietnamese version 1,500,000 VND for English version Form of payment: Account transfer For being consulted about content: Commodity analysis department: Nguyễn Mai Linh or Đào Thanh Huyền - Email: banhang_agro@yahoo.com For placing an order: Customer services department: Ms. An Thu Hang - YM: banhang_agro Tel: (84.4) 04.62.93.86.32 - 012.88.256.256 – Fax: (84.4) 39726949 Email: banhang_agro@yahoo.com Online support Customer service: Tel: 04.62.93.86.32 - 012.88.256.256 Fax: 04.39726949 Email: banhang_agro@yahoo.com TABLE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF TABLES LIST OF BOXES ABBREVIATION SUMMARY PART I. THE WORLD FERTILIZER SITUATION IN 2012 1.1. THE WORLD CONTEXT 1.1.1. The world economic situation 1.1.2. The world agricultural production 1.2. THE WORLD FERTILIZER SUPPLY-DEMAND 1.2.1. Fertilizer demand 1.2.2. Fertilizer supply 1.2.2.1. Nitrogen 1.2.2.2. Phosphate 1.2.2.3. Potash 1.3. TRADE 1.3.1. Import 1.3.2. Export 1.4. PRICE DEVELOPMENTS 1.5 SOME FERTILIZER POLICIES OF COUNTRIES IN 2012 PAR 2. VIETNAM FERTILIZER MARKET 2.1. DOMESTIC FERTILIZER SUPPLY-DEMAND 2.1.1. Domestic fertilizer demand 2.1.2. Domestic fertilizer supply 2.2. FERTILIZER EXPORT-IMPORT 2.2.1. Vietnam’s fertilizer import in 2012 2.2.1.1. Total fertilizer import volume and value of Vietnam 2.2.1.2 Fertilizer import by variety 2.2.1.3. Fertilizer import by market 2.2.2. Vietnam’s fertilizer export in 2012 2.3. FERTILIZER PRICE VOLATILITY 2.3.1. Domestic fertilizer price 2.3.2. Import fertilizer price 2.4 VIETNAM’S POLICIES ON FERTLIZER IN 2012 PART 3. FERTILIZER MARKET OUTLOOK IN 2013 3.1. OUTLOOK FOR THE WORLD FERTILIZER MARKET 3.1.1. Outlook for the world fertilizer supply-demand 3.1.2. Outlook for fertlizer price 3.2. OUTLOOK FOR VIETNAM FERTILIZER MARKET 3.2.1. Outlook for domestic fertilizer demand-supply 3.2.2. Outlook for fertilizer price PART 4. APPENDIX 4.1. THE WORLD DATA 4.2. VIETNAM DATA LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 1: The world grain production from 2008/2009 to 2012/2013 Figure 1 2: The world food and cereal price indicator in 2008 – 2012 (2002-2004=100) Figure 1 3: The world fertilizer demand in 2008 - 2013 Figure 1 4: Fertilizer demand share by region in 2012 Figure 1 5: Fertilizer imports of top 8 fertilizer importers by share in 2012 Figure 1 6: Fertilizer imports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Figure 1 7: Fertilizer exports of top 8 markets by share in 2012 Figure 1 8: Fertilizer imports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Figure 1 9: Monthly fertilizer price volatility from 2008 – 2012 Figure 1 10: Monthly fertilizer price in 2012 Figure 1 11: Monthly fertilizer price in 2012 Figure 2 1: Vietnam’s monthly fertlizer production in 2012 Figure 2 2: Monthly production of some main fertilizers in 2012 Figure 2 3: Vietnam’s fertilizer imports in 2009-2012 Figure 2 4: Monthly fertilier import in 2011-2012 Figure 2 5: Comparing fertilizer imports between 2011 and 2012 Figure 2 6: Vietnam’s fertilizer import share by market in 2012 Figure 2 7: Growth volatility in share out of top 10 fertilizer providers to Vietnam in 2012 Figure 2 8: Vietnam’s fertilizer export volume and value in 2012 Figure 2 9: Destinations for Vietnam’s fertilizer export in 2012 Figure 2 10: Monthly fertilizer exports to Cambodia in 2011-2012 Figure 2 11: Price volatility of some fertilizers in Vietnam Figure 2 12: Urea price in some main markets in 01/2011-3/2013 Figure 2 13: Vietnam’s average fertilizer price in 2011-2012 Figure 2 14: Monthly fertilizer import price in 2011-2012 Figure 2 15: Fertilizer price imported from China in 2012 Figure 3 1: Monthly average fertilizer price from Jan 2012-Feb 2013 Figure 3 2: The world food and cereal price indicator in 2008 – 2013 (2002-2004=100) LIST OF TABLES Table 1 1: Fertilizer share and growth in 2011-2012 Table 1 2: The world nitrogen supply in 2011-2012 Table 1 3: The world phosphate supply in 2011-2012 Table 1 4: The world potash supply in 2011-2012 Table 2 1: Urea price in some provinces by Apr 2012 Table 3 1: The world fertilizer supply forecast in 2013 Table 4 1: The economic growth of world and some terrorities in 2011 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 2: The world food production from 2008/2009 to 2012/2013 Table 4 3: The world food and cereal price indicator in 2008 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 (2002-20004=100) Table 4 4: The world fertilizer demand in 2008 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 5: The world fertizer demand in 2011 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 6: The world nitrogen, phosphate and potash supply in 2011 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 7: Fertilizer imports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Table 4 8: Fertilizer exports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Table 4 9: Monthly fertilizer price from Jan 2008 to Mar 2013 Table 4 10: Vietnam’s fertilizer demand by variety Table 4 11: Domestic fertilizer production share Table 4 12: Fertilizer import value in 2012 Table 4 13: Fertilizer import by variety in 2012 Table 4 14: Fertilizer import by market in 2012 Table 4 15: Fertilizer imports by variety from China in 2012 Table 4 16: Fertilizer price in 2012
FOREWORD LIST OF FIGURES LIST OF TABLES LIST OF BOXES ABBREVIATION SUMMARY PART I. THE WORLD FERTILIZER SITUATION IN 2012 1.1. THE WORLD CONTEXT 1.1.1. The world economic situation 1.1.2. The world agricultural production 1.2. THE WORLD FERTILIZER SUPPLY-DEMAND 1.2.1. Fertilizer demand 1.2.2. Fertilizer supply 1.2.2.1. Nitrogen 1.2.2.2. Phosphate 1.2.2.3. Potash 1.3. TRADE 1.3.1. Import 1.3.2. Export 1.4. PRICE DEVELOPMENTS 1.5 SOME FERTILIZER POLICIES OF COUNTRIES IN 2012
PAR 2. VIETNAM FERTILIZER MARKET 2.1. DOMESTIC FERTILIZER SUPPLY-DEMAND 2.1.1. Domestic fertilizer demand 2.1.2. Domestic fertilizer supply 2.2. FERTILIZER EXPORT-IMPORT 2.2.1. Vietnam’s fertilizer import in 2012 2.2.1.1. Total fertilizer import volume and value of Vietnam 2.2.1.2 Fertilizer import by variety 2.2.1.3. Fertilizer import by market 2.2.2. Vietnam’s fertilizer export in 2012 2.3. FERTILIZER PRICE VOLATILITY 2.3.1. Domestic fertilizer price 2.3.2. Import fertilizer price 2.4 VIETNAM’S POLICIES ON FERTLIZER IN 2012
PART 3. FERTILIZER MARKET OUTLOOK IN 2013 3.1. OUTLOOK FOR THE WORLD FERTILIZER MARKET 3.1.1. Outlook for the world fertilizer supply-demand 3.1.2. Outlook for fertlizer price 3.2. OUTLOOK FOR VIETNAM FERTILIZER MARKET 3.2.1. Outlook for domestic fertilizer demand-supply 3.2.2. Outlook for fertilizer price
PART 4. APPENDIX 4.1. THE WORLD DATA 4.2. VIETNAM DATA
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1 1: The world grain production from 2008/2009 to 2012/2013 Figure 1 2: The world food and cereal price indicator in 2008 – 2012 (2002-2004=100) Figure 1 3: The world fertilizer demand in 2008 - 2013 Figure 1 4: Fertilizer demand share by region in 2012 Figure 1 5: Fertilizer imports of top 8 fertilizer importers by share in 2012 Figure 1 6: Fertilizer imports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Figure 1 7: Fertilizer exports of top 8 markets by share in 2012 Figure 1 8: Fertilizer imports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Figure 1 9: Monthly fertilizer price volatility from 2008 – 2012 Figure 1 10: Monthly fertilizer price in 2012 Figure 1 11: Monthly fertilizer price in 2012 Figure 2 1: Vietnam’s monthly fertlizer production in 2012 Figure 2 2: Monthly production of some main fertilizers in 2012 Figure 2 3: Vietnam’s fertilizer imports in 2009-2012 Figure 2 4: Monthly fertilier import in 2011-2012 Figure 2 5: Comparing fertilizer imports between 2011 and 2012 Figure 2 6: Vietnam’s fertilizer import share by market in 2012 Figure 2 7: Growth volatility in share out of top 10 fertilizer providers to Vietnam in 2012 Figure 2 8: Vietnam’s fertilizer export volume and value in 2012 Figure 2 9: Destinations for Vietnam’s fertilizer export in 2012 Figure 2 10: Monthly fertilizer exports to Cambodia in 2011-2012 Figure 2 11: Price volatility of some fertilizers in Vietnam Figure 2 12: Urea price in some main markets in 01/2011-3/2013 Figure 2 13: Vietnam’s average fertilizer price in 2011-2012 Figure 2 14: Monthly fertilizer import price in 2011-2012 Figure 2 15: Fertilizer price imported from China in 2012 Figure 3 1: Monthly average fertilizer price from Jan 2012-Feb 2013 Figure 3 2: The world food and cereal price indicator in 2008 – 2013 (2002-2004=100)
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1 1: Fertilizer share and growth in 2011-2012 Table 1 2: The world nitrogen supply in 2011-2012 Table 1 3: The world phosphate supply in 2011-2012 Table 1 4: The world potash supply in 2011-2012 Table 2 1: Urea price in some provinces by Apr 2012 Table 3 1: The world fertilizer supply forecast in 2013 Table 4 1: The economic growth of world and some terrorities in 2011 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 2: The world food production from 2008/2009 to 2012/2013 Table 4 3: The world food and cereal price indicator in 2008 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 (2002-20004=100) Table 4 4: The world fertilizer demand in 2008 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 5: The world fertizer demand in 2011 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 6: The world nitrogen, phosphate and potash supply in 2011 – 2012 and forecast for 2013 Table 4 7: Fertilizer imports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Table 4 8: Fertilizer exports of top 8 markets in 2011-2012 Table 4 9: Monthly fertilizer price from Jan 2008 to Mar 2013 Table 4 10: Vietnam’s fertilizer demand by variety Table 4 11: Domestic fertilizer production share Table 4 12: Fertilizer import value in 2012 Table 4 13: Fertilizer import by variety in 2012 Table 4 14: Fertilizer import by market in 2012 Table 4 15: Fertilizer imports by variety from China in 2012 Table 4 16: Fertilizer price in 2012